Nate Silver 将其 FLIPR 选举模型与博彩市场对比
RT Mike "Mish" Shedlock: Nate Silver Compares His FLIPR Election Model to the Betting Markets @tyillc @jlounsbury59 @USRoute41 @mtmalinen @JonFraserTF...
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Mike "Mish" Shedlock 转发了 Nate Silver 将其 FLIPR 选举模型与预测市场(博彩市场)进行对比的内容。核心问题是:当 FLIPR 模型与预测市场意见不一致时,哪一方的判断更有依据。
来源:@dgsommersmkts · x.com