Polymarket 交易者仅给 17% 概率：比特币年内突破 $100,000
Bitcoin’s Road to $100,000 Is Crowded With Would-Be Sellers
比特币今夏一度涨破 $87,000 后回落至 $80,000 附近，反弹动能减弱。Polymarket 交易者认为其年内触及 $100,000 的概率仅 17%，突破 $110,000 的概率更低至 9%。
October 27, 2026 at 5:21 PM UTC
Updated on
October 27, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC
Takeaways by Bloomberg AI
Bitcoin investors cheered as their favorite coin rebounded over the summer. With the turn of the season, they’ve been left with a nagging question: why did the rally fizzle out?
The original cryptocurrency, after advancing above $87,000 at one point, has reverted back to $80,000, dipping below it on a few occasions. Even the wisdom of the crowds — as measured by various bets taking place on prediction-markets exchange Polymarket — place the odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by the end of the year at just 17%. The chances of a break to $110,000 look slimmer still, with traders assigning just 9% odds to that outcome.